In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then?
One-OffMiddle EastPoliticaBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 61.7%
Previsori
41
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo2 ago 22, 07:36 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be 50 people in space at any moment before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will have walked on Mars, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsNEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club
PolymarketNEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club - Halftime Result
PolymarketNEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club - Second Half Result
PolymarketRegole
Based on Scott's article here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 312,6K €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+6.1pt59.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 153,3K €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 62% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then??
- In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Based on Scott's article here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email