Who will be portrayed in the first Oscar-winning movie about real-life AI released before 2034?
IAOne-OffIntrattenimento7a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sam Altman 80%In testa tra 17 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ott 24, 04:15 UTC2 gen 34, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves based on the characters in the first movie to win an Oscar which depicts real-life settings and events of modern AI development.
- For each real-world person under this question, resolve YES if they, as a character (not necessarily a cameo), say more than one word during the movie, are audibly mentioned, or are visually depicted for more than 20 seconds in total.
- If no qualifying movie about AI has won an Oscar before 2033, all answers resolve NO.
- If an actor in the movie is not playing themselves, resolves YES for the character they depict rather than the actor.
- A significant portion of the movie (>30% of runtime) must be set in the 2020s decade.
- A qualifying movie does not need to be an entirely faithful depiction of historical events as long as the backdrop, setting, and characters are largely drawn from true history.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be portrayed in the first Oscar-winning movie about real-life AI released before 2034??
- Manifold Markets quota Sam Altman al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be portrayed in the first Oscar-winning movie about real-life AI released before 2034??
- Who will be portrayed in the first Oscar-winning movie about real-life AI released before 2034? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2034.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be portrayed in the first Oscar-winning movie about real-life AI released before 2034??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves based on the characters in the first movie to win an Oscar which depicts real-life settings and events of modern AI development.