Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 86.5%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
3 ott 26, 01:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra?
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PolymarketWill the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public before December 31 11.59pm ET 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
