Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 93.4%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mar 25, 05:29 UTC1 gen 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFrench, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves according to the Wikipedia page
- https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auslandseins%C3%A4tze_der_Bundeswehr which tracks abroad missions of the Bundeswehr.
- Resolves Yes if there is
- an ongoing mission (table "Laufende Einsätze") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- an other mission / commitment ("Weitere Missionen / einsatzgleiche Verpflichtungen") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- Resolves to official statements if the Wikipedia page ceases to exist or stops being updated.