Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
InflationPoliticaOne-OffCommoditiesUS PoliticsElezione1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 51%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 59 minuti fa
In ritardo5 apr 26, 18:51 UTC5 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsIf the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed, will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Kalshi2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
KalshiHow many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms?
PredictItRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if both of the following conditions are met:
- The national average price of a gallon of regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.50 at any point between April 5, 2026, and the date of the 2026 midterm elections.
- This data will be verified using the AAA Gas Prices national average tracker.
- The Democratic Party holds a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the results of the 2026 midterm elections.
- The market resolves to "NO" if gasoline prices do not reach or exceed $4.50 during the specified timeframe, or if the Democratic Party fails to secure control of either chamber of Congress.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 77,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria