Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years??

Manifold Markets quota No al 82.9% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years?

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Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

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No 82.9%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 4 ore fa

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8 gen 23, 18:43 UTC8 gen 33, 23:59 UTC

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Esito24hProbabilità

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Resolves to YES if, according to a credible variety of international news media, any foreign military intervenes in Namibia in the next ten years.

"Intervention" could be declaration of war, invasion, bombing, etc. I am asking this question because oil was recently discovered in Namibia; a cynic might feel that the discovery of oil makes military action more likely (whether its stated purpose is related to oil or not).
Resolution of the market does not care what is the purpose of the intervention, only whether an intervention occurs or not.