Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.7%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
10 nov 26, 05:25 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases or makes publicly available the model designated as Claude Fable 5.5 (or an official model under the Fable 5.5 designation) on or before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- "Released" is defined as public availability via any official channel, including the Claude API / Platform, the Claude web or desktop interface, or official cloud partners (e.g., AWS Bedrock, Google Cloud Vertex AI, Microsoft Foundry).
- Official announcements from Anthropic's Newsroom or the official @AnthropicAI X account announcing the release will qualify.
- Closed, private developer previews or unconfirmed model routing/leaks do not count unless Anthropic formally recognizes the release or opens general or public beta access.