Events in Russia within a year after Russia-Ukraine war ends [add answers]
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ucraina
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeDirect commercial flights to the EU resume 58.3%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto9 ago 25, 10:26 UTC1 gen 50, 20:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
The closing date of this market will be determined as the date when Russia's war in Ukraine ends (according to Wikipedia) + 1 year.
- (If it happens to be February 29th, then the date is March 1st of the following year).
- In case it resumes some time later, the closing date will NOT change.
- Each option will be resolved to YES or NO based on whether the event occured between the day the war ends and the closing date.
- If it does happen between the two mentioned dates, it resolves YES.
- If an obviously irreversible event (e.g. someone's death) happens before the war ends, it resolves NO.
