Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.5%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 25, 08:38 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine announce a publicly agreed, mutually binding ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution criteria: Official announcements from both governments or wide consensus of credible media reporting (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) confirming an official ceasefire agreement.
- Humanitarian pauses or unilateral ceasefires do not count.