Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 51%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 23, 15:52 UTC2 gen 33, 07:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
[Temporary market to group comments and feedback.
- I'll adjust the description and terms before officially starting it.
- If lots of people bet before it starts I may NA this one and make another one.
- There will be a series of markets about geoengineering covering different time scales and different organizations doing the work such as the usgov, in, EU, China, as well as other private companies.
- Please let me know what you think here or in discord]
- Musk, an existing company he founded, or a future company he founds will announce actual projects happening to do very large scale geoengineering to effect or relieve global warming by removing carbon from the atmosphere, or by reducing light absorption to the atmosphere using solar sails or umbrellas, or by emitting sulfur to reflect more light, or other project large scale.
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4K €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Volume totale
- 384,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,4K €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Volume totale
- 25,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 24,9K €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3K €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 altri esiti
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 51% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming??
- [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2033.
- Come viene liquidato [don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: [Temporary market to group comments and feedback.