Previsione della comunità attuale
No 74.3%
Previsori
119
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mar 22, 03:55 UTC1 gen 00, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery?
Manifold MarketsWill the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Nine
- Resolves once it's confirmed beyond a doubt that it does, or we've explored the solar system to an extensive enough degree that we couldn't possibly have missed it.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume totale
- 101,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,5K €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Does Planet Nine exist??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Does Planet Nine exist??
- Does Planet Nine exist? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Does Planet Nine exist??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Nine