Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.2%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
5 mag 25, 04:30 UTC2 gen 30, 05:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the hypothetical Planet Nine is officially named "Hades" upon its confirmed discovery.
- The official naming must be recognized by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) or an equivalent authoritative body.
- If Planet Nine is discovered and given a different name, or if it remains undiscovered by the market's closing date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Planet Nine is a theoretical ninth planet in the outer Solar System, proposed to explain the unusual clustering of certain trans-Neptunian objects' orbits.
- Its existence remains unconfirmed, and no official name has been assigned.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume totale
- 101,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,5K €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery??
- Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria: