Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.2%
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64
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto5 nov 23, 02:47 UTC2 gen 35, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if a global AI pause is enacted at any time before 2035, and we survive to 2035.
- Resolves NO if we survive without enacting an AI pause
- For the purpose of this question: A global AI pause is a pause agreed on or forced upon countries that cumutatively make up over 95% of AI research between 2024 and the year the pause comes into effect.
- A pause must force all AI training within the affected countries to be strongly restricted or banned, according to specific and extensive rules and restrictions.
- Update 2026-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A 6-month pause qualifies as a global AI pause for the purpose of this market's resolution.