Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2060 75%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto9 dic 23, 10:29 UTC1 gen 60, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will development of biotechnology and genetic engineering render term "transgender" useless?
Manifold MarketsWill there be fresh fruit/vegetables advertised+verified as being sold "microplastics-free" in any supermarket by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
Manifold MarketsUS Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)
PolymarketWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Each date resolves YES if Malaria has been declared eradicated by the WHO (or an equivalent declaration by an appropriate organization of similar status if N/A) before Jan 1st of that year.
- With regards to ambiguity of resolution my intent with this market is: "the time at which there has been a period of no recent Malaria deaths and a reasonable expectation of no further deaths in future, as declared by an authoritative organisation" and I will seek the most objective way of defining that.
- The WHO's declaration of Smallpox eradication in 1980 would be analogous.
