Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 50.3%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC1 gen 50, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
Manifold MarketsWill someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
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Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegole
Time spent uploaded counts, but only real time, not simulated time.
- If reanimated from cryonic storage, only the time they spent "alive" counts.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 83,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 915,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume totale
- 4,2K €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 50% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150??
- Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2150.
- Come viene liquidato Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Time spent uploaded counts, but only real time, not simulated time.