Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.8%
Previsori
92
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto8 gen 26, 18:11 UTC31 dic 26, 23:27 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Manifold MarketsICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWas the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good injured?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if an ICE agent kills an American citizen before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on verified news reports confirming the death of a U.S. citizen at the hands of an ICE agent.
- The victim must be confirmed as a U.S. citizen by credible sources (news organizations, government statements, or court documents).
- Accidental deaths unrelated to enforcement actions do not count.
- An ICE agent fatally shot a woman in Minneapolis on January 7, 2026, marking a significant escalation in immigration enforcement operations.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen??
- Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria