Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
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Previsione della comunità attuale≥$0.8T 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 giorni fa
Obsoleto22 apr 26, 3:491 lug 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
≥$0.8T95.5%
≥$0.9T90.9%
≥$1T3.1%
≥$1.1T2.1%
≥$1.25T2.3%
≥$1.5T1.9%
≥$1.75T1.5%
≥$2T4.5%
≥$2.5T2.7%
3.1%
2.1%
2.3%
1.9%
1.5%
1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· ≥$0.8T
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto85% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 100% | — | 5,7K € | 0 € | 25 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 27 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Chiusi
+9.9pt100%
+12.6pt100%
+66.5pt100%
+9 altri esiti
18 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale449K €
Volume 24h5,7K €
POLYMARKETRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
16,1K €December 31,: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
3,2K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).