Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 63.4%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 26, 07:39 UTC5 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?
Manifold MarketsWill models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegole
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.