KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Alibaba 57%+10.0ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,5 €
Liquidità
6,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
4 set 26, 16:00 UTC11 set 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
PolymarketWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill "RA x ControlAI video: What if AI just keeps g..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Artificial Analysis - Video Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If MiniMax is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Kalshi quota Alibaba al 57% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Top Text to Video AI this week dovrebbe risolversi il 11 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.