KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 6.3% 71.7%In testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
21 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
209,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 15:15 UTC30 set 26, 07:50 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Germany unemployment rate is above 5.9% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Trading Economics
- If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.0% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.1% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.2% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.3% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.4% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 97,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 702,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 91K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 400K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5K €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,3K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9K €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Germany unemployment rate in September?
- Kalshi quota Above 6.3% al 72% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Germany unemployment rate in September?
- Germany unemployment rate in September dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Germany unemployment rate in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Germany unemployment rate is above 5.9% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.