KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Before Oct 1, 2026 (92%)
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Oct 1, 2026 92%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
10,2K €
Liquidità
9,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
96.0% / 98.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto8 set 26, 06:48 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Before Oct 1, 202692%
Before Jan 1, 202765%
92%
91%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsMillennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:OpenAI
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
- The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem.
- Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it.
- Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution.
- Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution??
- Kalshi quota Before Oct 1, 2026 al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution??
- Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.