KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Pete Hegseth 36%-38.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Pete Hegseth 36%-38.0ptQualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
503,4 €
Open interest
7K €
Open interest medioSpread
28.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
28 set 26, 20:00 UTC20 gen 29, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office in 2026?
PredictItWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItWhen will Trump leave office as President?
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump leave office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump leave office early?
PredictItRegole
If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Defense at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). Officials can leave office through resignation, firing, removal, impeachment and removal, or any other process by which they cease to hold the position. A change in the name of an office, including renaming the Secretary of Defense as the Secretary of War, does not constitute leaving that position. The first official to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
Regole per ogni esito
- Pete Hegseth
- If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Defense at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kash Patel
- If the individual holding the title of Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Health and Human Services at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
