Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
5 ott 26, 12:44 UTC3 gen 27, 12:43 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
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PolymarketExtended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketIf Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any of the following three officials officially vacates or ceases to hold their respective office on or before 11:59 PM ET on January 3, 2027 (90 days from October 5, 2026):
- Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)
- Kash Patel (Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)
- This market resolves to NO if all three individuals remain in their respective offices as of the end of this 90-day window.