KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Claude (99%)
Risolto: 31 ago 2026, 15:09
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Claude
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
99%
ConsensoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 31 ago 2026, 15:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Qwen1%
Grok2%
Muse1%
Kimi1%
Gemini1%
ClaudeVinta
GrokPersa
GeminiPersa
ChatGPTPersa
MusePersa
QwenPersa
KimiPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Regole archiviate a livello di evento. I termini esatti di ciascun esito non sono più disponibili.
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LMArena Leaderboard
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.