KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.0% / 4.5%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
9 set 25, 14:00 UTC3 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Republicans hold a midterm convention?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWho will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?
KalshiHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsUnlikely Democrats to hold office by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If a pre-midterm DNC convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+16 altri esiti
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Democrats hold a midterm convention??
- Kalshi quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Democrats hold a midterm convention??
- Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Democrats hold a midterm convention??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a pre-midterm DNC convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.