KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Transgender (99%)
Risolto: 10 set 2026, 04:41
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 10 set 2026, 13:37 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Transgender93%
NATO0%
Rigged Election1%
Event does not qualify2%
Barack Hussein Obama47%
Biden87%
America First1%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat82%
Israel / Israeli1%
Healthcare84%
Kamala1%
Drill Baby Drill1%
Fentanyl66%
Venezuela83%
Fraud99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Nobel0%
Mental Institution1%
Scholarship1%
DEI / Woke53%
Ballroom50%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement1%
Windmill0%
Landslide75%
Communist / Communism83%
China / Chinese75%
Save America Act0%
Space Force43%
Cheat / Cheated / Cheater59%
Supreme Court63%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline75%
Sanctuary1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability86%
Radical Left86%
MAGA / Make America Great Again75%
TransgenderVinta
Barack Hussein ObamaPersa
BidenPersa
Dumbocrat / DumacratPersa
HealthcarePersa
FentanylPersa
VenezuelaPersa
FraudPersa
DEI / WokePersa
BallroomPersa
LandslidePersa
Communist / CommunismPersa
China / ChinesePersa
Save America ActPersa
Space ForcePersa
Cheat / Cheated / CheaterPersa
Supreme CourtPersa
Oil / Gas / GasolinePersa
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityPersa
Radical LeftPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will Trump say in October?
PolymarketWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Regole archiviate a livello di evento. I termini esatti di ciascun esito non sono più disponibili.
If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1) using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1) will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.