KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Copilot 88%In testa tra 16 esiti
Copilot 88%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
468,6 €
Open interest
464,8 €
Open interest bassoSpread
18.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 18:00 UTC1 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
If Satya Nadella says Copilot as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Microsoft Corporation Investor Events
- How this is resolved Video of the Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Satya Nadella speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regole per ogni esito
- Copilot
- If Satya Nadella says Copilot as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Azure
- If Satya Nadella says Azure as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Agent 365
- If Satya Nadella says Agent 365 as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Foundry
- If Satya Nadella says Foundry as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sovereign Cloud
- If Satya Nadella says Sovereign Cloud as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cybersecurity
- If Satya Nadella says Cybersecurity as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Autopilot
- If Satya Nadella says Autopilot as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Anthropic / Claude
- If Satya Nadella says Anthropic / Claude as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- NVIDIA
- If Satya Nadella says NVIDIA as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Scout
- If Satya Nadella says Scout as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- GitHub
- If Satya Nadella says GitHub as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Frontier
- If Satya Nadella says Frontier as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If Satya Nadella says OpenAI as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cowork
- If Satya Nadella says Cowork as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mistral
- If Satya Nadella says Mistral as part of Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) , then the market resolves to Yes.