How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 pt (24h)One-OffPolitica Elezione US Politics4m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

51 18.5%+0.1pt

In testa tra 12 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

+1.5 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 ore fa

Obsoleto

2 apr 25, 0:164 gen 27, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Confronto tra fonti di previsione

Disponibile anche su Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 pt (24h)One-OffPolitica Elezione US Politics4m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

51 18.5%+0.1pt

In testa tra 12 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

+1.5 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 ore fa

Obsoleto

2 apr 25, 0:164 gen 27, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Confronto tra fonti di previsione

Disponibile anche su Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: Manifold Markets quota 51 al 19% al 21 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 gennaio 2027.
Come viene liquidato How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
Dove altro è quotato How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Confronto tra fonti di previsione

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Confronto tra fonti di previsione

Domande frequenti

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