How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
1.8 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezionePolitica USAElezioni di metà mandato USA 20262mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale52 15.8%-1.8ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
56
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
2 apr 25, 00:16 UTC4 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
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Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWill any America Party candidate appear on a federal midterm election ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
