KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Ted Cruz 98%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualità del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,2K €
Liquidità
30K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
2 set 26, 03:00 UTC12 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWill Republicans hold a midterm convention?
KalshiWill Democrats hold a midterm convention?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If the named outcome speaks as part of official programming at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES.
- A person speaks at the convention only if they personally deliver attributable spoken remarks as part of official Republican Midterm Convention programming at American Airlines Center on September 9 or 10, 2026.
- Live podium remarks, an official panel, an introduction, an in-program interview or moderated discussion, and an official prerecorded speech segment qualify.
- Attendance, a silent stage appearance, being mentioned or shown in an image or b-roll, an outside media interview, a rally, a fundraiser, or an unofficial side event does not qualify.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention??
- Kalshi quota Ted Cruz al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention??
- Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome speaks as part of official programming at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention, then the market resolves to Yes.