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Dati al 11 set 2026, 14:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 1430 0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
92.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
10 set 26, 22:30 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiGPT 6 Astra debut arena score
KalshiWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketIf Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Grok 4.7 scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
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Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+12.5pt89%
- 2026+23.0pt71%
- September 30, 2026+24.5pt43%
- Volume totale
- 125,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 55K €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+8.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt25.7%
- Yang-Mills+13.6pt14.3%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+21.5pt50%
- September 30, 2026+20.5pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt62.8%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt20.6%
- Gemini-0.9pt6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI market share this week
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Kalshi quota Above 1430 al 0% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Grok 4.7 debut arena score dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Grok 4.7 scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.