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Dati al 11 set 2026, 14:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 1460 0%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
92.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
10 set 26, 22:30 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiGrok 4.7 debut arena score
KalshiGPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWhich models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If GPT 6 Astra scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+12.5pt89%
- 2026+23.0pt71%
- September 30, 2026+24.5pt43%
- Volume totale
- 125,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 55K €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+8.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt25.7%
- Yang-Mills+13.6pt14.3%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+21.5pt50%
- September 30, 2026+20.5pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt62.8%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt20.6%
- Gemini-0.9pt6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI market share this week
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per GPT 6 Astra debut arena score?
- Kalshi quota Above 1460 al 0% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve GPT 6 Astra debut arena score?
- GPT 6 Astra debut arena score dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato GPT 6 Astra debut arena score?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If GPT 6 Astra scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.