KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
above 1500 51%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidità
12,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
25 giu 26, 22:30 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketBy what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
Manifold MarketsGemini 3.5 Pro when???
Manifold MarketsRegole
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify.
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- Kalshi quota above 1500 al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.