KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
35,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.0% / 3.9%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 nov 24, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketWhich countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
KalshiWill Serbia normalize relations with Kosovo in 2026?
FutuurRegole
If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Times
- The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
- Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 altri esiti
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027??
- Kalshi quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027??
- Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.