GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
Democratic Party 90.2%Corretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,9K €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTrader
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
23 dic 25, 16:08 UTC1 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in the 2026 election?
PredictItDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
3 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Democratic Party è del 91%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm Democratic Party 91% · 3 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 88%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 92%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 93%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 91%
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.7pt98%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+38.0pt53.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.3pt45.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
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- 58,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 326K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Gemini quota Democratic Party al 90% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Which party will win the U.S. House? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- Dove altro è quotato Which party will win the U.S. House??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su PredictIt, Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.