GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione liveDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 13 set 2026, 06:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 10.5%
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTrader
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
5 mar 26, 16:37 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
10.5%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Tesla Optimus released this year?
- If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from [Tesla](https://www.tesla.com/blog).
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fb23f2b4792a847e3bfec991659d45b22?alt=media&token=ecada097-8f14-4780-87c1-2cdbc54d648f&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+73.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-20.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-47.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 419,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 380,7K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Seattle+21.0pt99%
- Atlanta+13.0pt99%
- Boston-1.0pt4%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 406,2K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,750 or above98%
- $75,500 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 228,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 224,5K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above97%
- $65,500 or above97%
- $68,000 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 289,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 222,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 160-179+2.0pt20.2%
- 180-199+1.0pt20.2%
- 140-159+6.0pt18.2%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- <40+29.5pt53.4%
- 40-64-12.0pt40.8%
- 65-89-13.5pt4.8%
+7 altri esiti
- Where will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 12, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 13, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 12, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Tesla Optimus released this year??
- Gemini quota Yes al 11% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Tesla Optimus released this year??
- Tesla Optimus released this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Tesla Optimus released this year??
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: Tesla Optimus released this year?
- Dove altro è quotato Tesla Optimus released this year??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.