Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
TecnologiaOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 93.9%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto16 gen 24, 05:02 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus
- Resolution Criteria: The market resolves "Yes" if Tesla’s Optimus Gen-2 robot is available for general sale by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by an official Tesla announcement or product launch.
- If the robot is not available by this date, the market resolves "No."
- Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2026, at 23:59 PST.
- Update 2026-03-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For this market to resolve Yes, the Optimus Gen-2 must be in stock and actively shipping to customers.
- A pre-order phase alone does not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus