Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2030+ 83.1%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto26 set 23, 13:58 UTC31 dic 40, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla Optimus robot commit a crime before year 2028? 🦾
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill a humanoid robot walk on the mars before a human does?
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTesla Optimus released this year?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Will resolve N/A if less than 1,000,000 bots are made.
- Inspired by: https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1706012058834407608
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume totale
- 620K €
- Volume 24h
- 536K €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built??
- Manifold Markets quota 2030+ al 83% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built??
- What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2040.
- Come viene liquidato What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will resolve N/A if less than 1,000,000 bots are made.