FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
Saudi Arabia 11%In testa tra 3 esiti
Saudi Arabia 11%Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,5K €
Liquidità mediaTrader
19
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
KalshiWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
KalshiIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This event predicts whether Israel and the listed countries will formally normalize diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
- For the purpose of this event, normalization means the official establishment of full diplomatic relations, including mutual recognition and the opening or formal commitment to open embassies or equivalent diplomatic missions.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement or joint statement issued by the governments of Israel and/or the countries named in the listed markets confirming full diplomatic normalization.
- If official announcements are delayed, unavailable, or ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and consistent consensus reported by major international news organizations (such as Reuters, AP, BBC, or Al Jazeera) citing authoritative government sources.
- Partial normalization, limited agreements, confidence-building measures, or improvements in relations that fall short of full diplomatic ties will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
- These markets will be resolved according to the substantive outcome—whether full diplomatic normalization is formally established—rather than minor technicalities of wording or ceremony.