Questo mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Risolto: 18 ago 2026, 14:28
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 4.6% 99%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
25 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4K €
Liquidità
3,5K €
Liquidità mediaTrader
29
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 giorni fa
ObsoletoTrend
99%
97%
97%
94%
93%
82%
56%
51%
3%
1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
KalshiChina Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiWill China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.
- Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 611,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- Futuur quota Above 4.6% al 99% al 17 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 17 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- Futuur liquida questo mercato come segue: Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.