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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 18:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 14%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
14,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.0% / 10.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
3 sept. 26, 13:27 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? · Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 14% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.