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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 18:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
335,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
2.0% / 9.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
2 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRègles
If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Green Party of England and Wales
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 11% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.