Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
4.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueCentral BanksEuropeMacro & Economy3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 69.3%-4.5pt
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
258,1 €
Liquidité
781 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
30.0% / 31.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
5
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
24 févr. 26, 01:26 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
PredictItMacron leads EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
Manifold MarketsLisa Cook departure announced?
KalshiECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.