Macron leads EU before 2040?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffGéopolitiqueEuropeCentral BanksÉlectionPolitique13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.7%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète2 sept. 25, 14:50 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- Resolution criteria
- What “leader” means (any of these count)
- Head of state or head of government of the European Union or its successor polity (even if largely ceremonial), e.g., President, Prime Minister, Monarch/King/Emperor, Supreme/Paramount Leader, Regent, or military ruler (de facto or de jure).
- Top EU institutional chief whose role is commonly regarded as the EU’s primary political leadership, including President of the European Commission or President of the European Council (or any future office that replaces/combines them into the EU’s apex executive).
- Member of a collective top executive (e.g., co-presidency, triumvirate) where each member is officially a head of state/government of the EU/successor.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Macron leads EU before 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Macron leads EU before 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Macron leads EU before 2040? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2039.
- Comment Macron leads EU before 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.