Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.7% / 5.1%
Écart
3.4 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-2.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 août 26, 18:13 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP).
- Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
- A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice.
- Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 97% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.