Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsYearlyPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin America5mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 92.1%+0.0pt
Qualite du marche
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
72,1 €
Liquidité
5,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
5 janv. 26, 19:1231 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes8%
Tendance du volume
$822 juil.20j de données28 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
- Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
- For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
- Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.