Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPolitiqueLatin AmericaGéopolitique3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 4%-1.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
882,3 €
Liquidité
20,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
23
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 mai 26, 14:12 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
