Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by which date?
US PoliticsOne-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin America3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 15:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 5%+0.1pt
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
19,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Commentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
18 mai 26, 14:12 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
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PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Raúl Castro be taken into US custody by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
