Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 82.2%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète22 nov. 25, 17:01 UTC1 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Raul Castro in USA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Raúl Castro be taken into US custody by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Raul Castro dies before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Raul Castro dies before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Raul Castro dies before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Raul Castro dies before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria