PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: October 31
Résolu: 8 sept. 2026, 08:35
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
October 31
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
98%
ConsensusAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 07:07 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
July 310%
October 31100%
October 31Gagné
May 31Perdu
July 31Perdu
August 31Perdu
February 28Perdu
March 31Perdu
April 30Perdu
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.