PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 85%+3.0pt
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
408,2 €
Liquidité
16,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
59.0% / 61.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
8 sept. 26, 02:40 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by which date?
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PolymarketWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?
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KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 335,1 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.2pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,9 M €
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-5.5pt75%
- Yes+5.5pt25%
- Volume total
- 345,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
- Decrease27.7%
- Increase-0.1pt3%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- 516,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 43 k €
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- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
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- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 85% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).